Democrat El-Sayed Leads Michigan Senate Poll by 5

Oct 22

1 min read

Updated: 2 minutes ago

Polling snapshot as of October 22, 2026

Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leads Republican Mike Rogers 50% to 45% with leaners among likely Michigan voters in GrayHouse’s U.S. Senate ballot test.

Michigan U.S. Senate ballot. Initial: El-Sayed 47%, Rogers 45%. Including leaners: El-Sayed 50%, Rogers 45%. — Dark bars show initial support. Light caps add leaners. Totals are above the bars.

GrayHouse conducted the survey in collaboration with the Washington Reporter, asking about healthcare and the cost of living alongside the Senate ballot. El-Sayed led 47% to 45% on the initial ballot.

Methodology

GrayHouse interviewed 500 likely Michigan voters October 19–21, 2026, using text-to-web and live calls to cell phones and landlines. The sample was drawn from Michigan’s registered voter file and weighted to reflect the expected November electorate. The reported margin of error is ±4.4 percentage points.